Democrats seize on Robinson scandal, hoping to sink Trump in akey state

North Carolina Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson speaks during a campaign-style rally for Former President Donald Trump in 2022 in Selma, N.C. A scandal engulfing Robinson, the Republican nominee for governor, has Democrats feeling even more optimistic about Vice President Kamala Harris’s chances of winning the pivotal swing state in 2024. (Veasey Conway/The New York Times)

A scandal engulfing Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson of North Carolina, the Republican nominee for governor, has Democrats feeling even more optimistic about Vice President Kamala Harris’ chances of winning a pivotal swing state.

Minutes after CNN published a report Thursday saying that Robinson called himself a “black NAZI!” discussed his pornography habits and praised slavery in an adult online forum, the Harris campaign and its allies amped up their efforts to link him to former President Donald Trump.

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“Best friends,” the Harris campaign wrote on social platform X above a video of Trump and Robinson repeatedly praising each other. Her team circulated another video that showed Trump calling Robinson “better than Martin Luther King.” The effort continued into Friday, when the Democratic National Committee unveiled billboards in the Charlotte, Greensboro and Raleigh areas showing the two men smiling together.

Soon after, the Harris campaign released a television advertisement in North Carolina that juxtaposed footage of Trump paying tribute to Robinson alongside video of the lieutenant governor condemning women who have had abortions for not being “responsible enough to keep your skirt down.”

“Donald Trump and Mark Robinson: They’re both wrong for North Carolina,” the ad’s narrator says.

The strategy is clear: The Democrats want Trump to own all of Robinson’s baggage, hoping it will turn out their base while persuading independent voters and moderate Republicans to repudiate both men and cast their ballots for Harris instead.

“They’re one and the same,” Zack Hawkins, a Democratic state representative in North Carolina, said of Trump and Robinson. “We need to be shouting it from the rooftops. There’s nobody in the state of North Carolina, I guarantee, that has a cellphone and didn’t get this story.”

Robinson has denied CNN’s report and vowed to stay in the race.

But the Harris campaign may face a challenge in peeling voters in the state away from Trump even if they abandon Robinson. North Carolinians have a habit of splitting their tickets between political parties: In 2016 and 2020, they elected Roy Cooper, a Democrat, as governor after opting for Trump in the presidential contests.

Although Democrats have tried to link Robinson’s calls for strict abortion bans and other far-right positions to Trump, that effort does not appear to have succeeded. While Robinson trails the Democratic candidate, Attorney General Josh Stein, by more than 10 percentage points in some polls, the race between Harris and Trump is essentially tied in North Carolina.

“I think privately, a lot of Republicans know that they’re not going to vote for Mark Robinson,” Hawkins said. “And so they just need to take it to the next step and not vote for Donald Trump, either.”

It would be difficult for Trump to reclaim the White House without winning North Carolina. In 2020, Joe Biden lost the state to Trump by 1.3 percentage points, his narrowest defeat of the election. Both the Harris and Trump campaigns have invested tens of millions of dollars in television and radio advertising there, although Harris has reserved more airtime and opened more campaign offices in the state. Democrats also point to the state’s high number of Black voters and the population growth in its more moderate suburbs as advantages.

Barack Obama in 2008 was the last Democrat to carry the state in a presidential election.

In a statement, Mike Lonergan, a spokesperson for Robinson, said that polls had underestimated Republican support and that the campaign would press ahead.

“As we continue to ramp up our efforts on the ground and on the airwaves, Mark Robinson remains in a strong position to win in November,” he said.

The Harris campaign has not had to look far for evidence of ties between Trump and Robinson. The former president supported Robinson early in North Carolina’s Republican primary, helping him pull ahead of other candidates. Trump also hosted a fundraiser for him at his home in Palm Beach, Florida. And he has frequently praised him as a political “star” and a man of high character, even referring to him as “Martin Luther King on steroids.”

“Donald Trump has a Mark Robinson problem,” said Ammar Moussa, the rapid-response director for the Harris campaign.

Even some Republicans seemed to agree. On Thursday, Scott Lassiter, a Republican candidate for state Senate in a moderate district, called on Robinson to leave the race “for the good of the state and our party.”

And Sen. Thom Tillis, R-N.C., indicated that he thought the governor’s race was over, writing on X: “It was a tough day, but we must stay focused on the races we can win. We have to make sure President Trump wins NC.

“If Harris takes NC, she takes the White House,” he added.

Republicans in North Carolina had feared for months that a day like Thursday was coming. Robinson has a long history of making inflammatory comments, including quoting a statement attributed to Adolf Hitler. CNN reported that he said he enjoyed watching transgender pornography, despite his having made bigoted remarks against gay and transgender people.

Denying the allegations, Robinson said in a social media video, “The things you will see in that story, those are not the words of Mark Robinson.”

On Saturday, Trump is scheduled to hold a rally in Wilmington, North Carolina. But it was not clear whether Robinson would attend. As he has in the past when his allies get into trouble, Trump and his campaign seem likely to distance themselves from Robinson and to largely ignore the controversy, though people close to him thought he might address it in passing, either on his Truth Social site or at his event in the state. Trump is not, however, expected to exert pressure on Robinson to exit the race.

Karoline Leavitt, a Trump campaign spokesperson, issued a statement Thursday that did not talk about Robinson directly.

Instead, she said that Trump would win the White House and called North Carolina a “vital part of that plan.”

Even if Robinson were to drop out, he could not be replaced on the ballot at this point. The deadline for him to suspend his campaign was midnight Thursday, and state law would require the North Carolina Republican Party to select a candidate to replace him. It would also require the State Board of Elections to decide whether to reprint ballots after already doing so in response to Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s successful push to remove his name from the state ballot.

© 2024 The New York Times Company

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