In contrast to the volatile trading of late last year, the market’s gains have been small but steady. To Lamkin, the lack of large swings looks ominous. The world is still full of dangers, he said. Lamkin tells his clients that the top risks are another flare-up in the European debt crisis and a war between Israel and Iran.
BY MATTHEW CRAFT
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
NEW YORK — A two-point gain was enough to push the Standard & Poor’s 500 index to its highest level since June 2008, three months before the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the darkest days of the financial crisis.
The S&P 500 index closed at 1,365.74, beating its 2011 closing high by two points.
For the second day this week, the Dow Jones industrial average nudged above 13,000 then pulled back. It rose 29 points in the morning but wavered in the afternoon. The Dow dropped 1.74 points to close at 12,982.95. American Express was the leading stock among the 30 that make up the average, gaining 1.2 percent.
It was a similar story on Tuesday, when the Dow flitted above 13,000 three times but ended the day lower. The average hasn’t closed above 13,000 since May 19, 2008.
What will it take for the Dow to close above 13,000 and stay there? Mark Lamkin, CEO of Lamkin Wealth Management in Louisville, Ky., said it would require a surprising news event, like a huge merger or an economic report that blows past expectations.
“It needs some type of surprise, a bombshell,” Lamkin said. “We’ve had a pretty good run over the past four months. Now it’s going to take something great to keep it above 13,000.”
The two economic reports out Friday didn’t make the cut.
A consumer sentiment index taken by the University of Michigan and Reuters edged up in February to its highest level in a year. And the Commerce Department reported that sales of new homes dipped slightly in January, but the figure still topped economists’ estimates. It also said sales in the final three months of 2011 were higher than previously reported.
“The numbers are just OK,” Lamkin said. “They weren’t bad, but they weren’t great, either.”
In other trading, the Nasdaq composite index rose 6.77 points to 2,963.75.
Oil prices hit a nine-month high of $109.77 a barrel. The price of oil has jumped 10 percent this month amid rising concerns about a conflict with Iran.
The euro added a penny against the dollar, hitting $1.346, its highest since Dec. 5. Greece made a formal offer to creditors to swap their Greek government bonds for new ones, another step toward knocking $142 billion off its debts. The swap is part of a deal to prevent Greece from defaulting on a debt payment due next month.
Stock indexes have been climbing since November as European officials redoubled their efforts to contain the region’s debt crisis and the European Central Bank extended cheap loans to troubled banks. The S&P 500 index has gained 8.6 percent to start 2012, better than its long-term annual average gain.
In contrast to the volatile trading of late last year, the market’s gains have been small but steady. To Lamkin, the lack of large swings looks ominous. The world is still full of dangers, he said. Lamkin tells his clients that the top risks are another flare-up in the European debt crisis and a war between Israel and Iran.