Sunday | February 26, 2017
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After Algerian Standoff, Debate Emerges Over Hostage-Takers’ Intent

Algerian security forces on Sunday made grisly discoveries of dozens of bodies at a sprawling natural gas facility, a day after a violent showdown put an end to an international hostage crisis.

But as Algeria tallied up the losses, a debate was quickly emerging about whether the militant group linked to al-Qaida that seized the plant had been intent on a massacre or whether it had simply been after money.

Security officials told Algerian media Sunday that they had discovered 25 charred bodies after they mounted a final assault at the remote Sahara plant the previous day, apparently leaving the kidnappers and remaining captives dead.

Those discoveries, coupled with the death of a Romanian hostage who succumbed to his injuries after escaping, brought the overall death toll to at least 81. Algerian officials had said Saturday that 23 hostages and 32 militants had been killed in the standoff. It was not known Sunday whether the 25 newly discovered bodies were those of hostages or captors.

The crisis erupted Wednesday, when militants staged a dawn raid on the desert gas complex. The United States and other Western governments had urged caution and put intense pressure on the Algerians to avoid hostage deaths.

Obama administration officials and congressional staff members said Sunday that they received only scant information from Algeria’s government and military throughout the ordeal. Algerian authorities seemed determined to use force even at the risk of harm to hostages, said the officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss internal communications.

Analysts said Algeria’s no-negotiations approach had long been a policy and should not have surprised the West or the militants. But the group that asserted responsibility for the attack said in statements Sunday that it had been seeking talks, not a bloodbath.

The Signatories in Blood brigade, led by al-Qaida-linked Mokhtar Belmokhtar, said the Algerian government had ignored its push for a bargain, calling the harsh crackdown “barbaric” in a statement published by the Mauritanian Nouakchott News Agency.

The militant group had been “offering negotiations” as late as Saturday, the statement said.

The statement also included a threat, warning any country that assists France with its operations in crisis-hit Mali that more attacks would come. And it told “Muslim brothers” to stay away from Western companies, especially French ones, “for their own safety.”

The one-eyed Belmokhtar, who has been involved in gun-running and kidnapping, had long been seen as less ideologically driven than some of his compatriots in al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb, analysts said. Instead, he raised millions of dollars for the umbrella group by auctioning off the release of hostages for ransoms.

Although Belmokhtar had carried out deadly attacks in the past, several analysts suggested that he may not have expected such a harsh response from the Algerian government at the gas plant. He and his followers apparently split from al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb just weeks ago. Many analysts doubted that he would have sent so many members of his group to their deaths at one time.

Belmokhtar “keeps saying, ‘We did all this to stand up for our brother Muslims,’” said Dirk Vandewalle, a North Africa expert and professor of government at Dartmouth College. “There may be an element of solidarity with fellow Muslims, but these groups are very opportunistic.

“My hunch is that he just miscalculated what the reaction from the Algerian government would be.”

But analysts were also careful not to play down the potential of violence by a group that brought a trove of arms that included six machine guns, 21 rifles, two 60mm mortars, rockets, six 60mm missiles with launchers, two grenade launchers with eight rockets and 10 grenades arranged into explosive belts, according to officials quoted by Algeria’s state news agency.

The militants had also placed explosives around the complex, Algerian authorities said Sunday, and a mine-sweeping operation was underway to remove them.

Western governments were struggling Sunday to balance frustration over the deaths of their citizens with an understanding for Algeria’s decades-old history of tough tactics against militants.

Analysts said that any attempt by Belmokhtar-linked fighters to escape into the desert was probably motivated by a desire to raise a ransom or extract other demands, not necessarily to kill the hostages. Unlike in the Middle East or other areas where the al-Qaida mother organization has been active, North Africa does not have an extensive history of suicide attacks.

“It’s unlike the groups concerned to engage in self-sacrifices of this kind,” said George Joffe, a North Africa expert at the University of Cambridge in England.

Birnbaum reported from Berlin. Anthony Faiola in London and Anne Gearan in Washington contributed to this report.