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How long will Kilauea Volcano’s June 27 flow last?

With the June 27 lava flow entering Pahoa this past week, the U.S. Geological Survey’s Hawaiian Volcano Observatory and Hawaii County Civil Defense have been providing updates to the media and the public each day. This short-term information is useful to gauge the immediate hazards that the flow might pose to nearby residences and infrastructure. But recently, a frequent inquiry has been: “When will this end?” To answer this question, we should first consider the June 27 flow as a whole and examine it over a longer time frame.